Doug Collins
Implied probability 2%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$8k
Liquidity$8k
Resolves20 Jan 2029
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 6 Oct, 12:34 UTC | 2% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Doug Collins becomes the first member of Donald Trump's Cabinet to leave office or announce his departure after May 22, 2026. The outcome is No if he does not meet this condition before any other cabinet member departs. Readers often mistake the trigger for any resignation rather than specifically being the first one, or they overlook the strict post-May 22, 2026 deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%