Before Jan 2027
Implied probability 67%+4
24-hour volume$270
Total volume$7k
Liquidity$7k
Resolves2 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 67% |
| 25 Oct, 15:32 UTC | 67% |
| 23 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 63% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if any member of Trump's Cabinet leaves their current role or announces they will leave before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the specific news story about a lawyer quitting for the trigger, but only Cabinet members count.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 67%
- No 33%