Proposition 45
Implied probability 49%−1
24-hour volume$215
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 49% |
| 10 Oct, 02:19 UTC | 49% |
| 8 Oct, 14:11 UTC | 50% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Proposition 45 passes in California. The outcome is No if it fails. Readers often mistake the deadline for when votes are cast rather than when results are certified.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 49%
- No 51%