Flávio Bolsonaro
Implied probability 3%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$8k
Liquidity$8k
Resolves4 Oct 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 4 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 3% |
| 29 Sept, 18:16 UTC | 1% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Flávio Bolsonaro ranks third in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election based on certified results. The outcome is No if he does not finish third or if the election does not occur as scheduled. Readers often mistake the source of truth, assuming unofficial polls determine the result instead of the official certified election data.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 3%
- No 97%