Fabio Wardley
Implied probability 1%−28
24-hour volume$237k
Total volume$265k
Liquidity$265k
Resolves31 Oct 2026
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Fabio Wardley wins the boxing match against Daniel Dubois. It resolves to No if he does not win. Readers often mistake the original scheduled date of October 17, 2026, for a hard deadline rather than just identifying the specific event.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%