HDZ coalition
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 4 Oct, 15:00 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the HDZ coalition finishes second in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina House of Representatives election based on certified results. The outcome is No if the coalition does not finish second or if the election does not occur as scheduled.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%