Robert Pattinson
Implied probability 34%+27
24-hour volume$88k
Total volume$215k
Liquidity$215k
Resolves1 Jan 2030
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Robert Pattinson is officially cast as James Bond before January 1, 2030. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked story about Phoebe Bridgers for relevant casting news.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 34%
- No 66%