At least 10
Implied probability 79%+3
24-hour volume$92
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves1 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 79% |
| 13 Oct, 05:15 UTC | 79% |
| 9 Oct, 20:55 UTC | 76% |
| 8 Oct, 04:08 UTC | 75% |
| 7 Oct, 19:06 UTC | 69% |
| 7 Oct, 14:19 UTC | 98% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the President signs more than nine bills into law during October 2026. The outcome is No if he signs nine or fewer bills in that same month. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it applies to any time in 2026 rather than specifically October.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 79%
- No 21%