Rick Devens
The market favoured No at 95% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$99k
Total volume$287k
Liquidity$287k
Resolved31 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 2 Oct, 01:33 UTC | 1% |
| 2 Oct, 01:13 UTC | 8% |
| 2 Oct, 00:03 UTC | 7% |
| 1 Oct, 22:51 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Oct, 19:12 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Oct, 14:21 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Oct, 08:11 UTC | 3% |
| 1 Oct, 06:55 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Oct, 04:30 UTC | 4% |
| 1 Oct, 03:19 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Oct, 00:44 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Sept, 08:38 UTC | 4% |
| 28 Sept, 07:26 UTC | 5% |
| 28 Sept, 04:36 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Sept, 03:26 UTC | 7% |
| 28 Sept, 02:08 UTC | 6% |
| 28 Sept, 00:54 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Sept, 23:37 UTC | 3% |
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Rick Devens finishes second in Big Brother Season 28. The outcome is No for all other results. Readers often mistake the winner of the season for the person who must finish second.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%