Rick Devens
The market favoured No at 51% a day out, but Yes won. How often it's right
Final probability 99%
24-hour volume$234k
Total volume$1.1M
Liquidity$1.1M
Resolved7 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 2 Oct, 01:33 UTC | 99% |
| 2 Oct, 01:13 UTC | 95% |
| 2 Oct, 00:03 UTC | 56% |
| 1 Oct, 22:51 UTC | 57% |
| 1 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 50% |
| 1 Oct, 16:44 UTC | 49% |
| 1 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 47% |
| 1 Oct, 14:21 UTC | 50% |
| 1 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 49% |
| 1 Oct, 11:45 UTC | 50% |
| 1 Oct, 09:23 UTC | 49% |
| 1 Oct, 05:40 UTC | 51% |
| 1 Oct, 02:00 UTC | 49% |
| 30 Sept, 23:32 UTC | 50% |
| 30 Sept, 22:21 UTC | 48% |
| 30 Sept, 21:08 UTC | 50% |
| 30 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 51% |
| 30 Sept, 17:20 UTC | 52% |
| 30 Sept, 14:50 UTC | 51% |
| 30 Sept, 13:38 UTC | 50% |
| 30 Sept, 08:35 UTC | 51% |
| 30 Sept, 04:55 UTC | 52% |
| 30 Sept, 02:21 UTC | 54% |
| 30 Sept, 01:01 UTC | 52% |
| 29 Sept, 23:46 UTC | 53% |
| 29 Sept, 22:30 UTC | 54% |
| 29 Sept, 19:54 UTC | 53% |
| 29 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 51% |
| 29 Sept, 14:36 UTC | 52% |
| 29 Sept, 13:27 UTC | 51% |
| 29 Sept, 11:56 UTC | 50% |
| 29 Sept, 08:13 UTC | 52% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 50% |
| 28 Sept, 12:40 UTC | 51% |
| 28 Sept, 11:17 UTC | 53% |
| 28 Sept, 09:57 UTC | 52% |
| 28 Sept, 08:38 UTC | 54% |
| 28 Sept, 06:24 UTC | 52% |
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Rick Devens is officially declared the winner of Big Brother Season 28. The outcome is No if he is not declared the winner. Readers often mistake the finale air date for the resolution deadline, but the market waits for the official declaration.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%