Harry Kane
Implied probability 99%+3
24-hour volume$74k
Total volume$82k
Liquidity$82k
Resolves10 Nov 2026
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Harry Kane finishes in the top three of the official 2026 Ballon d'Or rankings. It resolves to No if he does not reach that position. Readers often mistake the linked news story about his England record for the deciding factor, but only the final Ballon d'Or ranking matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%