Jude Bellingham
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$102k
Total volume$451k
Liquidity$451k
Resolves31 Dec 2026
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Jude Bellingham wins the Ballon d'Or award in 2026. It resolves to No if he does not win that specific award in that year. Readers often mistake this for a prediction of his general career success rather than a single, defined event.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%