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Republicans sweep

Resolved: No 3d ago

The market favoured No at 93% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$21.6M
Total volume$60.3M
Liquidity$60.3M
Resolved1 Feb 2027
How the odds moved · Republicans sweep
0%50%100%0%28 Oct, 16:59 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now0%
4 Nov, 04:40 UTC0%
4 Nov, 03:55 UTC0%
4 Nov, 03:18 UTC0%
4 Nov, 01:57 UTC0%
4 Nov, 01:27 UTC1%
4 Nov, 00:58 UTC3%
4 Nov, 00:29 UTC3%
3 Nov, 23:53 UTC4%
3 Nov, 23:24 UTC6%
3 Nov, 22:56 UTC7%
3 Nov, 21:34 UTC7%
3 Nov, 21:26 UTC7%
3 Nov, 20:56 UTC7%
3 Nov, 20:19 UTC7%
3 Nov, 19:57 UTC7%
3 Nov, 19:29 UTC7%
3 Nov, 18:29 UTC7%
3 Nov, 17:51 UTC7%
3 Nov, 17:17 UTC7%
3 Nov, 16:55 UTC7%
3 Nov, 16:26 UTC7%
3 Nov, 15:57 UTC7%
3 Nov, 15:07 UTC7%
3 Nov, 14:39 UTC7%
3 Nov, 14:25 UTC7%
3 Nov, 13:55 UTC6%
3 Nov, 13:11 UTC7%
3 Nov, 12:50 UTC7%
3 Nov, 12:14 UTC6%
3 Nov, 11:52 UTC6%
3 Nov, 11:27 UTC6%
3 Nov, 10:59 UTC6%
3 Nov, 09:54 UTC6%
3 Nov, 08:59 UTC6%
3 Nov, 08:25 UTC6%
3 Nov, 07:26 UTC7%
3 Nov, 06:23 UTC7%
3 Nov, 05:25 UTC7%
3 Nov, 04:43 UTC7%
3 Nov, 04:29 UTC7%
3 Nov, 03:54 UTC7%
3 Nov, 02:58 UTC7%
3 Nov, 02:23 UTC7%
3 Nov, 01:54 UTC7%
3 Nov, 01:24 UTC7%
3 Nov, 00:48 UTC6%
2 Nov, 23:37 UTC6%
2 Nov, 23:08 UTC6%
2 Nov, 22:54 UTC6%
2 Nov, 22:17 UTC6%
2 Nov, 21:41 UTC6%
2 Nov, 21:12 UTC6%
2 Nov, 20:44 UTC6%
2 Nov, 19:40 UTC6%
2 Nov, 19:26 UTC6%
2 Nov, 18:27 UTC6%
2 Nov, 17:56 UTC6%
2 Nov, 17:26 UTC6%
2 Nov, 16:42 UTC6%
2 Nov, 16:27 UTC6%
2 Nov, 15:56 UTC6%
2 Nov, 15:27 UTC6%
2 Nov, 14:49 UTC7%
2 Nov, 14:26 UTC7%
2 Nov, 13:56 UTC7%
2 Nov, 13:26 UTC7%
2 Nov, 12:49 UTC7%
2 Nov, 12:19 UTC6%
2 Nov, 11:57 UTC7%
2 Nov, 11:22 UTC7%
2 Nov, 10:50 UTC6%
2 Nov, 10:21 UTC7%
2 Nov, 09:52 UTC7%
2 Nov, 09:25 UTC7%
2 Nov, 08:57 UTC7%
2 Nov, 08:29 UTC7%
2 Nov, 07:54 UTC7%
2 Nov, 07:03 UTC7%
2 Nov, 06:42 UTC6%
2 Nov, 06:21 UTC7%
2 Nov, 05:24 UTC6%
2 Nov, 04:54 UTC6%
2 Nov, 04:19 UTC7%
2 Nov, 03:49 UTC7%
2 Nov, 03:21 UTC7%
2 Nov, 02:58 UTC7%
2 Nov, 02:22 UTC7%
2 Nov, 01:53 UTC8%
2 Nov, 01:17 UTC7%
2 Nov, 00:55 UTC7%
2 Nov, 00:12 UTC7%
1 Nov, 23:57 UTC7%
1 Nov, 22:53 UTC7%
1 Nov, 22:17 UTC7%
1 Nov, 21:56 UTC7%
1 Nov, 20:14 UTC7%
1 Nov, 19:45 UTC7%
1 Nov, 19:09 UTC7%
1 Nov, 18:54 UTC7%
1 Nov, 18:18 UTC7%
1 Nov, 17:49 UTC7%
1 Nov, 16:58 UTC7%
1 Nov, 16:29 UTC7%
1 Nov, 15:53 UTC7%
1 Nov, 15:00 UTC7%
1 Nov, 14:45 UTC7%
1 Nov, 14:23 UTC7%
1 Nov, 13:54 UTC7%
1 Nov, 13:24 UTC7%
1 Nov, 12:41 UTC7%
1 Nov, 11:55 UTC7%
1 Nov, 11:04 UTC6%
1 Nov, 10:50 UTC6%
1 Nov, 08:32 UTC7%
1 Nov, 07:59 UTC7%
1 Nov, 06:50 UTC7%
1 Nov, 04:36 UTC7%
1 Nov, 04:29 UTC7%
1 Nov, 03:54 UTC7%
1 Nov, 03:26 UTC7%
1 Nov, 02:43 UTC7%
1 Nov, 02:29 UTC7%
1 Nov, 01:59 UTC6%
1 Nov, 01:24 UTC6%
1 Nov, 00:28 UTC6%
31 Oct, 23:38 UTC6%
31 Oct, 22:50 UTC6%
31 Oct, 22:00 UTC6%
31 Oct, 21:31 UTC6%
31 Oct, 21:24 UTC6%
31 Oct, 20:36 UTC6%
31 Oct, 20:28 UTC6%
31 Oct, 19:59 UTC6%
31 Oct, 19:17 UTC6%
31 Oct, 18:27 UTC6%
31 Oct, 17:49 UTC6%
31 Oct, 16:36 UTC6%
31 Oct, 16:29 UTC6%
31 Oct, 15:52 UTC6%
31 Oct, 15:00 UTC6%
31 Oct, 14:53 UTC6%
31 Oct, 14:08 UTC6%
31 Oct, 13:53 UTC6%
31 Oct, 13:16 UTC6%
31 Oct, 11:42 UTC6%
31 Oct, 11:28 UTC6%
31 Oct, 10:06 UTC6%
31 Oct, 09:52 UTC6%
31 Oct, 08:21 UTC6%
31 Oct, 07:53 UTC6%
31 Oct, 07:11 UTC6%
31 Oct, 05:47 UTC6%
31 Oct, 05:26 UTC6%
31 Oct, 04:21 UTC6%
31 Oct, 03:45 UTC6%
31 Oct, 03:24 UTC6%
30 Oct, 20:37 UTC6%
30 Oct, 20:29 UTC6%
30 Oct, 19:53 UTC6%
30 Oct, 19:27 UTC6%
30 Oct, 17:49 UTC6%
30 Oct, 16:54 UTC7%
30 Oct, 16:25 UTC7%
30 Oct, 15:50 UTC7%
30 Oct, 15:21 UTC7%
30 Oct, 14:58 UTC7%
30 Oct, 14:23 UTC7%
30 Oct, 13:58 UTC7%
30 Oct, 13:13 UTC7%
30 Oct, 12:52 UTC7%
30 Oct, 12:24 UTC7%
30 Oct, 11:52 UTC8%
30 Oct, 11:10 UTC8%
30 Oct, 10:50 UTC8%
30 Oct, 10:20 UTC8%
30 Oct, 09:58 UTC8%
30 Oct, 09:29 UTC8%
30 Oct, 08:55 UTC8%
30 Oct, 08:02 UTC8%
30 Oct, 04:43 UTC8%
30 Oct, 04:22 UTC8%
30 Oct, 03:54 UTC8%
30 Oct, 01:28 UTC8%
30 Oct, 00:56 UTC8%
30 Oct, 00:28 UTC8%
29 Oct, 23:26 UTC8%
29 Oct, 21:55 UTC8%
29 Oct, 21:00 UTC8%
29 Oct, 20:16 UTC8%
29 Oct, 19:43 UTC8%
29 Oct, 19:29 UTC8%
29 Oct, 17:59 UTC9%
29 Oct, 17:26 UTC8%
29 Oct, 16:57 UTC8%
29 Oct, 16:00 UTC8%
29 Oct, 15:53 UTC8%
29 Oct, 15:22 UTC8%
29 Oct, 14:55 UTC8%
29 Oct, 13:46 UTC8%
29 Oct, 13:22 UTC8%
29 Oct, 12:59 UTC8%
29 Oct, 11:56 UTC9%
29 Oct, 10:34 UTC9%
29 Oct, 10:04 UTC9%
29 Oct, 09:55 UTC9%
29 Oct, 05:51 UTC9%
29 Oct, 04:35 UTC9%
29 Oct, 04:28 UTC9%
29 Oct, 03:35 UTC9%
29 Oct, 03:00 UTC9%
29 Oct, 02:53 UTC9%
29 Oct, 02:20 UTC9%
29 Oct, 01:59 UTC9%
29 Oct, 01:02 UTC9%
29 Oct, 00:48 UTC9%
29 Oct, 00:20 UTC9%
28 Oct, 23:54 UTC9%
28 Oct, 22:18 UTC9%
28 Oct, 21:57 UTC9%
28 Oct, 21:22 UTC9%
28 Oct, 20:37 UTC9%
28 Oct, 19:48 UTC9%
28 Oct, 19:26 UTC9%
28 Oct, 18:45 UTC9%
28 Oct, 18:29 UTC9%
28 Oct, 17:47 UTC9%
28 Oct, 17:23 UTC9%
28 Oct, 16:59 UTC8%

What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Republicans control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterm elections. It resolves to No if they fail to hold at least one of those chambers. Readers often mistake current polling data for the final election results, but only the actual seat counts matter.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 0%
  • No 100%

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