R-House, D-Senate
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Republicans control the House and Democrats control the Senate after the election. The outcome is No if either party fails to hold its respective chamber. Readers often mistake the date of the inauguration for the resolution deadline, but the market resolves based on the results of the midterm election.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%