Novak Djokovic
The market favoured No at 79% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 1%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolved9 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 9 Oct, 13:12 UTC | 1% |
| 8 Oct, 13:00 UTC | 21% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Novak Djokovic wins the 2026 ATP Shanghai professional tennis tournament. It resolves to No if he does not win that specific event. Readers often mistake the linked China Open victory for the deciding factor, but only the Shanghai tournament result matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%