Before Oct 1, 2026
Implied probability 5%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$65k
Liquidity$65k
Resolves1 Oct 2026
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested before October 1, 2026. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about insults for an arrest event.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 95%