John Mayer
Implied probability 29%+7
24-hour volume$10
Total volume$11k
Liquidity$11k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 29% |
| 24 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 29% |
| 24 Oct, 03:42 UTC | 23% |
| 24 Oct, 01:48 UTC | 27% |
| 23 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 22% |
| 23 Oct, 17:46 UTC | 25% |
| 23 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 31% |
| 23 Oct, 14:51 UTC | 33% |
| 23 Oct, 13:19 UTC | 31% |
| 23 Oct, 10:39 UTC | 34% |
| 23 Oct, 03:41 UTC | 36% |
| 22 Oct, 19:37 UTC | 34% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if John Mayer releases a new album in 2026. The outcome is No if he does not release a new album in 2026. Readers often mistake the linked Las Vegas residency for the resolution criteria, but only the album release matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 29%
- No 71%