Grimes
Implied probability 1%−22
24-hour volume$739
Total volume$9k
Liquidity$9k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 05:08 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 01:35 UTC | 20% |
| 13 Oct, 00:08 UTC | 21% |
| 11 Oct, 18:17 UTC | 23% |
| 11 Oct, 07:14 UTC | 25% |
| 8 Oct, 14:15 UTC | 23% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Grimes releases a new album in 2026. It resolves to No if she does not release a new album during that year. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a single track as sufficient for a 'Yes' resolution, but only a full new album counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%