Above 10K
Implied probability 85%+10
24-hour volume$409
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves18 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 85% |
| 10 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 85% |
| 9 Oct, 16:37 UTC | 77% |
| 9 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 79% |
| 8 Oct, 15:37 UTC | 77% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Remi Wolf's album Mud reaches more than 10,000 Album Equivalent Units during the tracking week of October 9–15, 2026. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. Readers often mistake the release date for the deadline; only units sold or streamed within that specific week count.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 85%
- No 15%