IRS
Implied probability 6%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$34k
Liquidity$34k
Resolves20 Jan 2029
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the Internal Revenue Service ceases to exist before January 20, 2029. The outcome is No if the agency remains operational on or after that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about the US leaving Greco as the relevant event, but only the elimination of the IRS counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 6%
- No 94%