eBay
Implied probability 3%−1
24-hour volume$1
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 22 Oct, 13:27 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 10:16 UTC | 4% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a company announces an agreement to acquire eBay before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked story about layoffs for a relevant event, but only an acquisition agreement counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 3%
- No 97%