Chappell Roan
Implied probability 99%
24-hour volume$60
Total volume$10k
Liquidity$10k
Resolves29 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 23 Oct, 23:43 UTC | 99% |
| 23 Oct, 19:57 UTC | 97% |
| 22 Oct, 22:46 UTC | 99% |
| 22 Oct, 14:39 UTC | 98% |
| 21 Oct, 14:04 UTC | 95% |
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Chappell Roan has a top 20 single on the Billboard Hot 100 by the issue dated December 26, 2026. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked concert news for the resolution criteria instead of checking the specific chart ranking and deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%