Vivek Ramaswamy
Implied probability 31%+14
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$17k
Liquidity$17k
Resolves1 Jan 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 31% |
| 5 Nov, 22:18 UTC | 31% |
| 5 Nov, 20:27 UTC | 29% |
| 5 Nov, 18:50 UTC | 30% |
| 5 Nov, 17:58 UTC | 21% |
| 5 Nov, 17:28 UTC | 34% |
| 4 Nov, 20:30 UTC | 17% |
| 4 Nov, 19:04 UTC | 33% |
| 4 Nov, 17:42 UTC | 35% |
| 4 Nov, 05:46 UTC | 33% |
| 3 Nov, 19:21 UTC | 32% |
| 2 Nov, 18:19 UTC | 36% |
| 2 Nov, 15:27 UTC | 34% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Vivek Ramaswamy announces a presidential campaign for the Republican nomination in the 2028 election before January 1, 2028. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the deadline as the date of the announcement rather than the date it must occur by.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 31%
- No 69%