Bobby Pulido
Implied probability 100%+10
24-hour volume$100k
Total volume$899k
Liquidity$899k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome depends on which party holds the US House seat for Texas District 15 when the new term begins in 2027. A 'Yes' result occurs if that member is a Democrat, while 'No' applies if they are not. Readers often mistake the linked news story about election chances for the actual resolution criteria.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%