Marcy Kaptur
Implied probability 81%
24-hour volume$79k
Total volume$183k
Liquidity$183k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the person elected to represent Ohio's 9th district for the term starting in 2027 is a Democrat. It resolves to No if that representative belongs to any other party or is an independent. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the deadline, but the actual condition depends solely on the party affiliation of the winner of the 2026 election.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 81%
- No 19%