Tom Tiffany
Implied probability 1%−14
24-hour volume$646k
Total volume$1.9M
Liquidity$1.9M
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a Republican is inaugurated as the governor of Wisconsin after the 2026 election. It resolves to No otherwise. Readers often mistake the debate headline for the final outcome, but only the official inauguration matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%