Greg Abbott
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a Republican is inaugurated as Texas governor after the 2026 election. It resolves to No if that does not happen. Readers often mistake the date of the linked emergency declaration for the resolution deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%