NewsMarkets

Markets

Gina Hinojosa

Implied probability 100%+59
24-hour volume$13.8M
Total volume$20.5M
Liquidity$20.5M
Resolves3 Nov 2027

Does the market have this right?

Email me when the odds move

We email a link to confirm first. At most one alert email every six hours; unsubscribe in one click. Privacy

What counts

The outcome is Yes if a Democrat wins and takes office as Texas governor after the 2026 election. The outcome is No if that does not happen. Readers often mistake the election date for the resolution deadline; the market resolves only when the winner is inaugurated.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 100%
  • No 0%

Trade this market on Kalshi →

Embed this market

Paste this into any web page to show the live odds, with a link back here.