Vivek Ramaswamy
The market favoured No at 82% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 4 Nov, 03:55 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 03:26 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 02:56 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Nov, 02:26 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Nov, 01:57 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Nov, 01:27 UTC | 7% |
| 4 Nov, 00:58 UTC | 11% |
| 4 Nov, 00:22 UTC | 16% |
| 3 Nov, 23:53 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Nov, 23:17 UTC | 23% |
| 3 Nov, 22:41 UTC | 22% |
| 3 Nov, 22:04 UTC | 20% |
| 3 Nov, 20:19 UTC | 19% |
| 3 Nov, 18:29 UTC | 19% |
| 3 Nov, 17:03 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Nov, 16:55 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 15:14 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Nov, 11:35 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Nov, 11:27 UTC | 17% |
| 3 Nov, 09:27 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Nov, 08:25 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Nov, 07:20 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Nov, 06:23 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Nov, 05:39 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Nov, 05:25 UTC | 19% |
| 3 Nov, 04:43 UTC | 19% |
| 3 Nov, 04:22 UTC | 19% |
| 3 Nov, 03:54 UTC | 19% |
| 3 Nov, 03:05 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Nov, 02:58 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Nov, 02:08 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Nov, 01:54 UTC | 19% |
| 2 Nov, 19:33 UTC | 18% |
| 2 Nov, 19:26 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 18:56 UTC | 18% |
| 2 Nov, 17:34 UTC | 18% |
| 2 Nov, 17:26 UTC | 17% |
| 2 Nov, 14:49 UTC | 18% |
| 2 Nov, 14:03 UTC | 19% |
| 2 Nov, 12:19 UTC | 18% |
| 2 Nov, 11:43 UTC | 19% |
| 2 Nov, 10:43 UTC | 19% |
| 2 Nov, 08:43 UTC | 20% |
| 2 Nov, 08:08 UTC | 20% |
| 2 Nov, 07:54 UTC | 19% |
| 2 Nov, 06:42 UTC | 21% |
| 2 Nov, 06:21 UTC | 19% |
| 2 Nov, 04:54 UTC | 20% |
| 2 Nov, 04:19 UTC | 20% |
| 2 Nov, 01:32 UTC | 20% |
| 2 Nov, 00:55 UTC | 21% |
| 2 Nov, 00:04 UTC | 21% |
| 1 Nov, 23:57 UTC | 21% |
| 1 Nov, 23:22 UTC | 22% |
| 1 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 21% |
| 1 Nov, 20:29 UTC | 20% |
| 1 Nov, 19:52 UTC | 21% |
| 1 Nov, 19:02 UTC | 21% |
| 1 Nov, 18:33 UTC | 20% |
| 1 Nov, 18:18 UTC | 21% |
| 1 Nov, 17:56 UTC | 21% |
| 1 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 20% |
| 1 Nov, 15:08 UTC | 21% |
| 1 Nov, 13:32 UTC | 21% |
| 1 Nov, 13:17 UTC | 20% |
| 1 Nov, 11:55 UTC | 21% |
| 1 Nov, 09:50 UTC | 21% |
| 1 Nov, 08:06 UTC | 21% |
| 1 Nov, 07:31 UTC | 20% |
| 1 Nov, 07:11 UTC | 21% |
| 1 Nov, 06:22 UTC | 21% |
| 1 Nov, 05:54 UTC | 20% |
| 1 Nov, 04:22 UTC | 21% |
| 1 Nov, 03:47 UTC | 21% |
| 1 Nov, 03:26 UTC | 20% |
| 1 Nov, 02:43 UTC | 20% |
| 1 Nov, 01:59 UTC | 21% |
| 1 Nov, 00:49 UTC | 21% |
| 31 Oct, 22:35 UTC | 21% |
| 31 Oct, 22:00 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 19:17 UTC | 21% |
| 31 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 18:04 UTC | 21% |
| 31 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 17:06 UTC | 21% |
| 31 Oct, 16:58 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 13:01 UTC | 21% |
| 31 Oct, 12:54 UTC | 21% |
| 31 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 21% |
| 31 Oct, 11:28 UTC | 22% |
| 31 Oct, 10:06 UTC | 21% |
| 31 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 08:07 UTC | 21% |
| 31 Oct, 07:53 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 07:25 UTC | 22% |
| 31 Oct, 06:22 UTC | 21% |
| 31 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 04:43 UTC | 21% |
| 31 Oct, 04:21 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 02:12 UTC | 21% |
| 31 Oct, 01:53 UTC | 20% |
| 31 Oct, 00:57 UTC | 21% |
| 31 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 21% |
| 30 Oct, 22:47 UTC | 21% |
| 30 Oct, 21:24 UTC | 21% |
| 30 Oct, 20:44 UTC | 21% |
| 30 Oct, 19:06 UTC | 20% |
| 30 Oct, 18:58 UTC | 19% |
| 30 Oct, 16:39 UTC | 20% |
| 30 Oct, 15:43 UTC | 20% |
| 30 Oct, 15:06 UTC | 21% |
| 30 Oct, 14:38 UTC | 20% |
| 30 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 21% |
| 30 Oct, 13:42 UTC | 20% |
| 30 Oct, 13:06 UTC | 21% |
| 30 Oct, 12:59 UTC | 21% |
| 30 Oct, 12:24 UTC | 20% |
| 30 Oct, 11:52 UTC | 19% |
| 30 Oct, 10:43 UTC | 20% |
| 30 Oct, 09:02 UTC | 20% |
| 30 Oct, 08:48 UTC | 19% |
| 30 Oct, 07:42 UTC | 20% |
| 30 Oct, 05:28 UTC | 20% |
| 30 Oct, 04:29 UTC | 19% |
| 30 Oct, 03:54 UTC | 19% |
| 30 Oct, 03:02 UTC | 20% |
| 30 Oct, 02:41 UTC | 21% |
| 30 Oct, 02:16 UTC | 21% |
| 30 Oct, 01:41 UTC | 21% |
| 30 Oct, 01:21 UTC | 21% |
| 30 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 19% |
| 29 Oct, 23:04 UTC | 20% |
| 29 Oct, 22:57 UTC | 19% |
| 29 Oct, 22:17 UTC | 21% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a Republican is inaugurated as the governor of Ohio after the 2026 election. It resolves to No otherwise. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a primary clash for the final outcome, but only the official inauguration determines the result.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%