Deb Haaland
Implied probability 99%+4
24-hour volume$139k
Total volume$248k
Liquidity$248k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a Democrat is inaugurated as the governor of New Mexico after the 2026 election. It resolves to No if any other candidate wins or if no Democratic governor takes office by that time. Readers often mistake the linked story's speculation about Deb Haaland for a confirmed outcome, but the resolution depends strictly on the actual election result and inauguration.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%