Andy Biggs
Implied probability 0%−8
24-hour volume$911k
Total volume$2.2M
Liquidity$2.2M
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a Republican is inaugurated as Arizona's governor after the 2026 election. It resolves to No if that does not happen. Readers often mistake the news headline for the final outcome, but only the official inauguration matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%