Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election?
Implied probability 53%−6
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$20k
Liquidity$28k
Resolves1 Jan 2030
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 53% |
| 1 Nov, 04:36 UTC | 53% |
| 31 Oct, 20:21 UTC | 53% |
| 31 Oct, 19:17 UTC | 52% |
| 31 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 53% |
| 31 Oct, 16:58 UTC | 52% |
| 31 Oct, 15:15 UTC | 52% |
| 31 Oct, 12:54 UTC | 53% |
| 31 Oct, 12:11 UTC | 54% |
| 31 Oct, 11:21 UTC | 54% |
| 31 Oct, 10:52 UTC | 55% |
| 31 Oct, 10:06 UTC | 56% |
| 31 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 56% |
| 31 Oct, 08:21 UTC | 56% |
| 31 Oct, 07:46 UTC | 54% |
| 31 Oct, 07:25 UTC | 57% |
| 31 Oct, 06:08 UTC | 60% |
| 31 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 60% |
| 31 Oct, 04:21 UTC | 60% |
| 31 Oct, 03:38 UTC | 60% |
| 31 Oct, 03:01 UTC | 61% |
| 31 Oct, 02:33 UTC | 60% |
| 31 Oct, 02:12 UTC | 60% |
| 31 Oct, 00:57 UTC | 57% |
| 31 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 55% |
| 30 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 56% |
| 30 Oct, 23:09 UTC | 58% |
| 30 Oct, 22:54 UTC | 55% |
| 30 Oct, 22:26 UTC | 59% |
| 30 Oct, 17:01 UTC | 52% |
| 30 Oct, 16:39 UTC | 51% |
| 30 Oct, 16:18 UTC | 51% |
| 30 Oct, 13:06 UTC | 51% |
| 30 Oct, 12:38 UTC | 51% |
| 30 Oct, 12:24 UTC | 52% |
| 30 Oct, 11:31 UTC | 52% |
| 30 Oct, 11:24 UTC | 52% |
| 30 Oct, 10:28 UTC | 50% |
| 30 Oct, 09:16 UTC | 47% |
| 30 Oct, 08:41 UTC | 47% |
| 30 Oct, 03:47 UTC | 48% |
| 30 Oct, 03:02 UTC | 47% |
| 30 Oct, 02:02 UTC | 46% |
| 30 Oct, 00:42 UTC | 45% |
| 30 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 39% |
| 29 Oct, 23:12 UTC | 38% |
| 29 Oct, 22:57 UTC | 38% |
| 29 Oct, 22:03 UTC | 38% |
| 29 Oct, 21:48 UTC | 39% |
| 29 Oct, 20:46 UTC | 39% |
| 29 Oct, 20:24 UTC | 39% |
| 29 Oct, 19:43 UTC | 41% |
| 29 Oct, 17:19 UTC | 37% |
| 29 Oct, 12:18 UTC | 37% |
| 28 Oct, 12:18 UTC | 42% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if María Corina Machado is officially declared the winner of the next popular presidential election in Venezuela by December 31, 2029. The No outcome applies if she loses that election or if no such election takes place within the deadline.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 53%
- No 47%
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