Spread: Giants (-2.5)
The market favoured Titans at 50% a day out, but Giants won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$1.6M
Total volume$1.7M
Liquidity$181k
Resolved27 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 27 Sept, 21:15 UTC | 100% |
| 27 Sept, 17:52 UTC | 65% |
| 27 Sept, 15:45 UTC | 51% |
| 27 Sept, 14:31 UTC | 51% |
| 27 Sept, 10:30 UTC | 50% |
| 27 Sept, 06:34 UTC | 51% |
| 27 Sept, 03:19 UTC | 50% |
| 27 Sept, 02:39 UTC | 51% |
| 26 Sept, 17:05 UTC | 50% |
| 25 Sept, 12:11 UTC | 51% |
| 24 Sept, 12:11 UTC | 52% |
What counts
The Giants outcome occurs if they win by three points or more. The Titans outcome applies if they win or if the Giants win by fewer than three points. Readers often mistake the point spread for a requirement to simply win the game, ignoring the specific margin needed.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Giants 100%
- Titans 0%
View this market on Polymarket →