Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?
Implied probability 89%+18
24-hour volume$111k
Total volume$257k
Liquidity$90k
Resolves1 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 89% |
| 1 Nov, 03:54 UTC | 89% |
| 1 Nov, 03:26 UTC | 87% |
| 1 Nov, 02:50 UTC | 85% |
| 1 Nov, 02:29 UTC | 86% |
| 1 Nov, 01:59 UTC | 85% |
| 1 Nov, 00:49 UTC | 81% |
| 1 Nov, 00:21 UTC | 77% |
| 31 Oct, 23:53 UTC | 77% |
| 31 Oct, 23:17 UTC | 77% |
| 31 Oct, 22:50 UTC | 75% |
| 31 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 72% |
| 31 Oct, 21:53 UTC | 78% |
| 31 Oct, 21:24 UTC | 80% |
| 31 Oct, 20:57 UTC | 78% |
| 31 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 79% |
| 31 Oct, 19:59 UTC | 82% |
| 31 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 79% |
| 31 Oct, 18:48 UTC | 73% |
| 31 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 73% |
| 31 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 74% |
| 31 Oct, 17:21 UTC | 74% |
| 31 Oct, 16:51 UTC | 73% |
| 31 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 74% |
| 31 Oct, 15:52 UTC | 74% |
| 31 Oct, 15:22 UTC | 70% |
| 31 Oct, 14:53 UTC | 61% |
| 31 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 60% |
| 31 Oct, 13:53 UTC | 60% |
| 31 Oct, 13:23 UTC | 62% |
| 31 Oct, 12:54 UTC | 61% |
| 31 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 63% |
| 31 Oct, 11:28 UTC | 67% |
| 31 Oct, 10:59 UTC | 68% |
| 31 Oct, 10:13 UTC | 67% |
| 31 Oct, 09:24 UTC | 67% |
| 31 Oct, 08:56 UTC | 70% |
| 31 Oct, 08:28 UTC | 72% |
| 31 Oct, 07:46 UTC | 73% |
| 31 Oct, 07:25 UTC | 74% |
| 31 Oct, 06:57 UTC | 73% |
| 31 Oct, 06:29 UTC | 73% |
| 31 Oct, 05:26 UTC | 76% |
| 31 Oct, 04:57 UTC | 73% |
| 31 Oct, 04:21 UTC | 70% |
| 31 Oct, 03:38 UTC | 71% |
| 31 Oct, 03:24 UTC | 71% |
| 31 Oct, 02:54 UTC | 76% |
| 31 Oct, 02:26 UTC | 62% |
| 31 Oct, 01:53 UTC | 74% |
| 31 Oct, 01:25 UTC | 75% |
| 31 Oct, 00:57 UTC | 72% |
| 31 Oct, 00:24 UTC | 72% |
| 30 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 75% |
| 30 Oct, 23:23 UTC | 79% |
| 30 Oct, 22:47 UTC | 79% |
| 30 Oct, 22:26 UTC | 79% |
| 30 Oct, 21:53 UTC | 79% |
| 30 Oct, 21:09 UTC | 78% |
| 30 Oct, 20:51 UTC | 83% |
| 30 Oct, 20:29 UTC | 86% |
| 30 Oct, 19:53 UTC | 94% |
| 30 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 92% |
| 30 Oct, 18:58 UTC | 80% |
| 30 Oct, 18:18 UTC | 66% |
| 30 Oct, 17:56 UTC | 67% |
| 30 Oct, 17:27 UTC | 67% |
| 30 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 70% |
| 30 Oct, 16:18 UTC | 68% |
| 30 Oct, 15:50 UTC | 69% |
| 30 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 78% |
| 30 Oct, 14:58 UTC | 77% |
| 30 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 53% |
| 30 Oct, 13:50 UTC | 43% |
| 30 Oct, 13:20 UTC | 40% |
| 30 Oct, 12:52 UTC | 35% |
| 30 Oct, 12:24 UTC | 33% |
| 30 Oct, 11:38 UTC | 34% |
| 30 Oct, 11:24 UTC | 47% |
| 30 Oct, 10:50 UTC | 54% |
| 30 Oct, 10:28 UTC | 52% |
| 30 Oct, 09:37 UTC | 51% |
| 30 Oct, 09:29 UTC | 51% |
| 30 Oct, 08:41 UTC | 50% |
| 30 Oct, 08:22 UTC | 49% |
| 30 Oct, 07:55 UTC | 51% |
| 30 Oct, 07:28 UTC | 51% |
| 30 Oct, 06:42 UTC | 50% |
| 30 Oct, 06:21 UTC | 49% |
| 30 Oct, 05:56 UTC | 47% |
| 30 Oct, 05:28 UTC | 45% |
| 30 Oct, 04:15 UTC | 60% |
| 30 Oct, 03:54 UTC | 61% |
| 30 Oct, 03:16 UTC | 62% |
| 30 Oct, 02:55 UTC | 61% |
| 30 Oct, 02:16 UTC | 38% |
| 30 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 24% |
| 30 Oct, 01:28 UTC | 28% |
| 30 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 32% |
| 27 Oct, 16:37 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Oct, 14:07 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Oct, 13:48 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Oct, 12:57 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 12:15 UTC | 4% |
| 27 Oct, 11:22 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 10:12 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 09:08 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 08:54 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 08:27 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 07:51 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 07:17 UTC | 5% |
| 27 Oct, 06:42 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Oct, 06:26 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Oct, 05:34 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Oct, 05:06 UTC | 6% |
| 27 Oct, 04:26 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Oct, 03:52 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Oct, 03:12 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Oct, 02:42 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Oct, 01:53 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Oct, 01:25 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Oct, 00:45 UTC | 7% |
| 27 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Oct, 23:24 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Oct, 22:01 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Oct, 20:49 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Oct, 19:44 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Oct, 18:04 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Oct, 17:45 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Oct, 17:13 UTC | 6% |
| 26 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 6% |
| 26 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Oct, 13:23 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Oct, 12:47 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Oct, 12:10 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Oct, 11:49 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Oct, 11:16 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Oct, 10:34 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Oct, 09:39 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Oct, 09:17 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Oct, 08:23 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Oct, 07:13 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Oct, 06:34 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Oct, 05:36 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Oct, 04:43 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Oct, 04:22 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Oct, 03:27 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 8% |
| 25 Oct, 20:33 UTC | 8% |
| 25 Oct, 20:26 UTC | 8% |
| 25 Oct, 19:46 UTC | 9% |
| 25 Oct, 19:25 UTC | 9% |
| 25 Oct, 18:57 UTC | 9% |
| 25 Oct, 18:25 UTC | 9% |
| 25 Oct, 17:35 UTC | 9% |
| 25 Oct, 17:17 UTC | 9% |
| 25 Oct, 16:35 UTC | 9% |
| 25 Oct, 16:28 UTC | 9% |
| 25 Oct, 15:46 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Oct, 13:25 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Oct, 11:14 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Oct, 10:21 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Oct, 09:21 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Oct, 08:32 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Oct, 06:48 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Oct, 06:05 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Oct, 05:24 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Oct, 04:56 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Oct, 04:12 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Oct, 03:58 UTC | 5% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if Vivek Ramaswamy or his campaign publicly announces it is stopping the ad featuring Amy Acton's mother, or if credible reporting confirms this action, before October 31, 2026. The ad must be pulled from television airtime; simply removing it from social media or letting its scheduled run expire without an explicit pull does not count.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 89%
- No 11%
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