Spread: Saints (-2.5)
The market favoured Falcons at 53% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$443k
Total volume$625k
Liquidity$412k
Resolved6 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 6 Oct, 05:41 UTC | 0% |
| 6 Oct, 00:03 UTC | 46% |
| 5 Oct, 23:36 UTC | 45% |
| 5 Oct, 23:16 UTC | 46% |
| 5 Oct, 14:01 UTC | 47% |
| 5 Oct, 11:37 UTC | 47% |
| 5 Oct, 03:26 UTC | 47% |
| 5 Oct, 01:03 UTC | 48% |
| 4 Oct, 22:43 UTC | 47% |
| 4 Oct, 17:27 UTC | 48% |
| 4 Oct, 12:32 UTC | 47% |
| 3 Oct, 21:10 UTC | 48% |
| 3 Oct, 18:36 UTC | 47% |
| 3 Oct, 16:13 UTC | 48% |
| 2 Oct, 16:13 UTC | 50% |
What counts
The Saints outcome wins if they beat the Falcons by three points or more. The Falcons outcome wins if they win, tie, or lose by fewer than three points. Readers often mistake player injuries for a reason to close the market early, but the game must be played and completed.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Saints 0%
- Falcons 100%
View this market on Polymarket →