Will Arsenal FC vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?
The market favoured No at 87% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$70k
Total volume$71k
Liquidity$142k
Resolved13 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 13 Oct, 22:25 UTC | 0% |
| 13 Oct, 17:42 UTC | 14% |
| 12 Oct, 17:42 UTC | 14% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and No otherwise. The official result from the governing body determines the outcome, with backup data sources used only if that information is not published within two hours. Readers often mistake the deadline for using backup data or assume post-match score revisions count toward the resolution.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
View this market on Polymarket →