Rockets vs. Mavericks
The market favoured Mavericks at 51% a day out, but Rockets won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$141k
Total volume$145k
Liquidity$158k
Resolved9 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 9 Oct, 14:59 UTC | 100% |
| 9 Oct, 11:55 UTC | 57% |
| 9 Oct, 11:29 UTC | 54% |
| 9 Oct, 10:54 UTC | 51% |
| 9 Oct, 09:48 UTC | 49% |
| 9 Oct, 09:20 UTC | 51% |
| 9 Oct, 08:09 UTC | 53% |
| 9 Oct, 07:36 UTC | 54% |
| 9 Oct, 07:23 UTC | 53% |
| 9 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 55% |
| 9 Oct, 05:13 UTC | 54% |
| 9 Oct, 04:33 UTC | 55% |
| 9 Oct, 02:34 UTC | 56% |
| 9 Oct, 02:28 UTC | 54% |
| 9 Oct, 00:16 UTC | 49% |
| 8 Oct, 23:49 UTC | 48% |
| 8 Oct, 15:21 UTC | 48% |
| 8 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 49% |
| 7 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 37% |
What counts
The Rockets outcome resolves if they win the scheduled NBA game in Macao on October 9 at 8:00 AM ET, while the Mavericks outcome resolves if they win. The result depends on the final score including overtime, and postponements keep the market open until the game is played. Readers often mistake the linked preseason headline for the actual resolution event instead of the specific October 9 game.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Rockets 100%
- Mavericks 0%
View this market on Polymarket →