Notre Dame vs. North Carolina
The market favoured Notre Dame at 94% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$139k
Total volume$774
Liquidity$114k
Resolved3 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 3 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 100% |
| 3 Oct, 16:53 UTC | 95% |
| 3 Oct, 16:13 UTC | 93% |
| 3 Oct, 15:47 UTC | 94% |
| 3 Oct, 14:13 UTC | 93% |
| 2 Oct, 14:12 UTC | 94% |
What counts
Notre Dame wins if they score more points than North Carolina in regulation or overtime. North Carolina wins if they score more points than Notre Dame in regulation or overtime. Readers often mistake the kickoff time for the deadline, but the result depends on who scores more points when the game ends.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Notre Dame 100%
- North Carolina 0%
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