Jets vs. Bears
The market favoured Bears at 64% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$1.4M
Total volume$1k
Liquidity$12k
Resolved4 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 4 Oct, 20:32 UTC | 0% |
| 4 Oct, 19:52 UTC | 0% |
| 4 Oct, 18:54 UTC | 17% |
| 4 Oct, 16:48 UTC | 38% |
| 2 Oct, 15:44 UTC | 37% |
| 2 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 38% |
| 1 Oct, 15:00 UTC | 39% |
| 30 Sept, 18:46 UTC | 38% |
What counts
The market resolves to Jets if they win the scheduled NFL game on October 4 at 1:00 PM ET. It resolves to Bears if they win that same game. Readers often mistake the Lions vs. Jets result in the linked story as relevant, but only the outcome of the specific Jets vs. Bears matchup counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Jets 0%
- Bears 100%
View this market on Polymarket →