Will Manchester City FC vs. AEK end in a draw?
The market favoured No at 92% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$508k
Total volume$521k
Liquidity$396k
Resolved20 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 20 Oct, 18:24 UTC | 10% |
| 20 Oct, 06:36 UTC | 9% |
| 19 Oct, 06:36 UTC | 8% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and No otherwise. The official final result from the governing body determines the outcome, with Flashscore or Sofascore used only if that data is not available within two hours. Readers often mistake the deadline for resolution, which depends on when the governing body publishes its statistics, not just when the game ends.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
View this market on Polymarket →