Raiders vs. Saints
The market favoured Saints at 62% a day out, but Raiders won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$3.5M
Total volume$0
Liquidity$11k
Resolved27 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 27 Sept, 23:51 UTC | 100% |
| 27 Sept, 23:09 UTC | 40% |
| 27 Sept, 22:53 UTC | 20% |
| 27 Sept, 21:08 UTC | 38% |
| 27 Sept, 20:22 UTC | 36% |
| 27 Sept, 19:59 UTC | 37% |
| 27 Sept, 07:48 UTC | 38% |
| 26 Sept, 08:02 UTC | 39% |
| 26 Sept, 01:37 UTC | 38% |
| 26 Sept, 00:41 UTC | 39% |
| 25 Sept, 17:52 UTC | 38% |
| 25 Sept, 15:50 UTC | 39% |
| 25 Sept, 15:08 UTC | 38% |
| 24 Sept, 03:46 UTC | 39% |
| 23 Sept, 19:39 UTC | 38% |
| 22 Sept, 15:40 UTC | 39% |
What counts
The Raiders outcome resolves if they win the scheduled NFL game on September 27 at 4:25 PM ET. The Saints outcome resolves if they win that same game. Readers often mistake the kickoff time for the deadline, but the result depends solely on who wins the match, not when it ends.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Raiders 100%
- Saints 0%
View this market on Polymarket →