England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England
The market favoured England at 67% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$430k
Total volume$462k
Liquidity$0
Resolved5 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 29 Oct, 18:35 UTC | 0% |
| 29 Oct, 16:07 UTC | 1% |
| 29 Oct, 15:53 UTC | 34% |
| 29 Oct, 15:22 UTC | 23% |
| 29 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 16% |
| 29 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 19% |
| 29 Oct, 13:46 UTC | 14% |
| 29 Oct, 13:29 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Oct, 12:52 UTC | 9% |
| 29 Oct, 12:03 UTC | 11% |
| 29 Oct, 11:56 UTC | 11% |
| 29 Oct, 11:12 UTC | 10% |
| 29 Oct, 10:58 UTC | 10% |
| 29 Oct, 10:26 UTC | 16% |
| 29 Oct, 09:55 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 14% |
| 29 Oct, 08:43 UTC | 23% |
| 29 Oct, 08:26 UTC | 31% |
| 29 Oct, 07:51 UTC | 34% |
| 29 Oct, 07:26 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Oct, 05:22 UTC | 34% |
| 29 Oct, 04:49 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Oct, 04:21 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Oct, 03:42 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Oct, 03:14 UTC | 34% |
| 29 Oct, 01:59 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Oct, 00:20 UTC | 33% |
| 28 Oct, 22:25 UTC | 33% |
| 28 Oct, 21:49 UTC | 34% |
| 28 Oct, 20:02 UTC | 33% |
| 28 Oct, 19:26 UTC | 33% |
| 28 Oct, 18:14 UTC | 33% |
| 27 Oct, 18:14 UTC | 33% |
What counts
The market resolves to Sri Lanka if they win the scheduled match, and to England if they win it. A tied result without a Super Over or with a canceled match leads to a 50-50 split. Readers often mistake the linked news headline about the tri-series elimination for the final outcome of this specific head-to-head fixture.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Sri Lanka 0%
- England 100%
View this market on Polymarket →