Lakers vs. Warriors
The market favoured Lakers at 56% a day out, but Warriors won. How often it's right
Why it moved: −56 points at 05:19 UTC, after Quartz: Warriors-Trainer Steve Kerr verbindet Yaxel Lendeborgs 11. Draft-Pick mit dem Alter. — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 31 Oct, 05:19 UTC | 0% |
| 31 Oct, 01:53 UTC | 56% |
| 30 Oct, 17:34 UTC | 57% |
| 30 Oct, 12:38 UTC | 56% |
| 30 Oct, 12:24 UTC | 56% |
| 30 Oct, 05:00 UTC | 56% |
| 30 Oct, 04:43 UTC | 55% |
| 30 Oct, 01:35 UTC | 56% |
| 30 Oct, 01:21 UTC | 56% |
| 30 Oct, 00:06 UTC | 56% |
| 29 Oct, 23:19 UTC | 55% |
| 29 Oct, 19:36 UTC | 56% |
| 29 Oct, 16:57 UTC | 55% |
| 29 Oct, 16:07 UTC | 54% |
| 29 Oct, 12:52 UTC | 53% |
| 29 Oct, 11:20 UTC | 54% |
| 29 Oct, 08:13 UTC | 56% |
| 29 Oct, 07:58 UTC | 55% |
| 29 Oct, 07:26 UTC | 54% |
| 29 Oct, 06:37 UTC | 54% |
| 29 Oct, 05:22 UTC | 54% |
| 29 Oct, 04:35 UTC | 52% |
| 29 Oct, 04:28 UTC | 51% |
| 28 Oct, 04:28 UTC | 56% |
What counts
The Lakers outcome resolves if they win the NBA game scheduled for October 30 at 10:00 PM ET, while the Warriors outcome resolves if they win. The result depends on the final score after any overtime periods. Readers often mistake the linked story about a different game as the resolution criteria.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Lakers 0%
- Warriors 100%
View this market on Polymarket →