Spread: Ohio State (-6.5)
The market favoured Ohio State at 50% a day out, but USC won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$230k
Total volume$231k
Liquidity$176k
Resolved31 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 1 Nov, 03:33 UTC | 0% |
| 31 Oct, 23:04 UTC | 50% |
| 31 Oct, 22:57 UTC | 50% |
| 31 Oct, 21:10 UTC | 51% |
| 31 Oct, 20:57 UTC | 50% |
| 31 Oct, 20:14 UTC | 51% |
| 31 Oct, 11:57 UTC | 50% |
| 30 Oct, 11:56 UTC | 52% |
What counts
Ohio State wins if it beats USC by seven points or more. Otherwise, USC wins. The deadline is when the game ends, not when the quarterback change happens.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Ohio State 0%
- USC 100%
View this market on Polymarket →