Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)
The market favoured Ilias Bulaid at 61% a day out, but Erick Visconde won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$131k
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$42k
Resolved14 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 14 Oct, 02:08 UTC | 0% |
| 14 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 5% |
| 14 Oct, 01:28 UTC | 48% |
| 14 Oct, 00:48 UTC | 53% |
| 14 Oct, 00:21 UTC | 54% |
| 13 Oct, 23:53 UTC | 54% |
| 13 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 54% |
| 13 Oct, 19:04 UTC | 55% |
| 13 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 55% |
| 13 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 56% |
| 13 Oct, 17:56 UTC | 55% |
| 13 Oct, 14:05 UTC | 59% |
| 13 Oct, 13:18 UTC | 60% |
| 13 Oct, 08:14 UTC | 61% |
| 13 Oct, 05:48 UTC | 60% |
| 13 Oct, 02:20 UTC | 61% |
| 12 Oct, 18:09 UTC | 60% |
| 12 Oct, 17:56 UTC | 59% |
| 12 Oct, 13:29 UTC | 57% |
| 11 Oct, 22:27 UTC | 56% |
| 11 Oct, 15:40 UTC | 57% |
| 11 Oct, 13:51 UTC | 56% |
| 11 Oct, 12:14 UTC | 58% |
| 11 Oct, 10:56 UTC | 58% |
| 11 Oct, 08:25 UTC | 58% |
| 11 Oct, 07:14 UTC | 58% |
| 11 Oct, 05:36 UTC | 57% |
| 11 Oct, 05:23 UTC | 57% |
| 11 Oct, 04:35 UTC | 57% |
| 11 Oct, 03:19 UTC | 57% |
What counts
The market resolves to Ilias Bulaid if he is officially declared the winner of the fight against Erick Visconde at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 8. It resolves to Erick Visconde if he is officially declared the winner. Readers often mistake the resolution source; only official UFC information counts, not news reports or unofficial results.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Ilias Bulaid 0%
- Erick Visconde 100%
View this market on Polymarket →