Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
The market favoured No at 76% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$106k
Total volume$146k
Liquidity$13k
Resolved19 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 19 Sept, 08:09 UTC | 0% |
| 18 Sept, 05:19 UTC | 25% |
| 18 Sept, 04:51 UTC | 20% |
| 18 Sept, 04:26 UTC | 19% |
| 18 Sept, 03:59 UTC | 19% |
| 18 Sept, 03:26 UTC | 18% |
| 18 Sept, 02:54 UTC | 18% |
| 18 Sept, 02:25 UTC | 17% |
| 18 Sept, 01:59 UTC | 15% |
| 18 Sept, 01:10 UTC | 14% |
| 18 Sept, 00:50 UTC | 14% |
| 17 Sept, 23:44 UTC | 14% |
| 17 Sept, 23:16 UTC | 14% |
| 17 Sept, 21:54 UTC | 14% |
| 17 Sept, 19:15 UTC | 17% |
| 17 Sept, 06:43 UTC | 14% |
| 16 Sept, 19:39 UTC | 13% |
| 16 Sept, 18:43 UTC | 12% |
| 16 Sept, 18:25 UTC | 13% |
| 16 Sept, 16:53 UTC | 13% |
| 16 Sept, 16:05 UTC | 14% |
| 15 Sept, 16:05 UTC | 24% |
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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