Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?
Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$145
Total volume$45k
Liquidity$21k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 22 Oct, 08:46 UTC | 0% |
| 22 Oct, 03:16 UTC | 0% |
| 21 Oct, 23:28 UTC | 0% |
| 21 Oct, 18:12 UTC | 0% |
| 21 Oct, 15:38 UTC | 0% |
| 20 Oct, 22:17 UTC | 0% |
| 20 Oct, 13:29 UTC | 0% |
| 17 Oct, 14:19 UTC | 0% |
| 16 Oct, 17:36 UTC | 0% |
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What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if Sanae Takaichi permanently leaves her current office before December 31, 2026. The No outcome applies if she remains in office past that deadline or only holds a temporary caretaker role. Readers often mistake scheduled departures due to elections or temporary suspensions for permanent removal.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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