Spread: Bengals (-2.5)
The market favoured Bengals at 56% a day out, but Steelers won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$205k
Total volume$299k
Liquidity$132k
Resolved27 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 27 Sept, 22:53 UTC | 0% |
| 27 Sept, 21:08 UTC | 0% |
| 27 Sept, 17:52 UTC | 40% |
| 27 Sept, 12:39 UTC | 56% |
| 25 Sept, 21:27 UTC | 56% |
| 23 Sept, 12:14 UTC | 57% |
| 22 Sept, 12:13 UTC | 59% |
What counts
The Bengals outcome requires them to win by three points or more in their scheduled September 27 game against the Steelers. The Steelers outcome applies if they win, tie, or lose by fewer than three points. Readers often mistake this market for the linked Patriots-Steelers story, but it resolves based solely on the Bengals-Steelers matchup.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Bengals 0%
- Steelers 100%
View this market on Polymarket →