O/U 1.5 Rounds
The market favoured Under at 56% a day out, but Over won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$0
Resolved14 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 14 Oct, 00:14 UTC | 83% |
| 13 Oct, 23:53 UTC | 46% |
| 13 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 42% |
| 13 Oct, 22:25 UTC | 43% |
| 13 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 43% |
| 12 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 44% |
What counts
Over resolves if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2, while Under resolves if it ends before that point. Readers often mistake the exact moment of the threshold as a tie rather than checking if the action actually crosses it. The official UFC results serve as the sole source of truth for this market.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Over 100%
- Under 0%
View this market on Polymarket →