England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs England
The market favoured England at 61% a day out, but Pakistan won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$258k
Total volume$263k
Liquidity$87k
Resolved27 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 20 Oct, 15:23 UTC | 90% |
| 20 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 58% |
| 20 Oct, 14:10 UTC | 31% |
| 20 Oct, 13:53 UTC | 16% |
| 20 Oct, 13:29 UTC | 16% |
| 20 Oct, 12:53 UTC | 34% |
| 20 Oct, 11:55 UTC | 40% |
| 20 Oct, 11:26 UTC | 33% |
| 20 Oct, 10:56 UTC | 31% |
| 20 Oct, 10:13 UTC | 22% |
| 20 Oct, 09:54 UTC | 23% |
| 20 Oct, 09:25 UTC | 24% |
| 20 Oct, 08:44 UTC | 32% |
| 20 Oct, 08:23 UTC | 36% |
| 20 Oct, 07:56 UTC | 39% |
| 20 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 40% |
| 19 Oct, 06:36 UTC | 42% |
What counts
The market resolves to Pakistan if they win the scheduled One Day International against England, and to England if they win. A tied match with no tiebreaker or a canceled game results in a 50-50 split. Readers often mistake the linked tri-series headline for the resolution criteria, but this market depends solely on the specific bilateral fixture between Pakistan and England.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Pakistan 100%
- England 0%
View this market on Polymarket →